I don't want Randy Moss on the Packers, I'll be upfront honest about that.  Even if he still had the skills that made him the league's premiere deep threat I wouldn't want him.....I think there's a reason he's never been a winner at any level.   But that's a subject for another day.

What I wanted to share with you today was this little graph courtesy of footballoutsiders.com.    They do this little statistical trick of looking at Moss's past three seasons and then comparing him with other players who have a similar profile, age-wise and performance wise.   Here's what it looks like:

Similarity scores are a tool used to compare people to other players who posted similar numbers over a given time period. A quick glance at Moss’ three-year similarity profile is very alarming. (Only yards are listed, but similarity scores also compare catches, touchdowns, and average yards per catch.)

Name	Years	Yards Yr 1-3	Age +1	G+1	Rec +1	Yds+1
Randy Moss	2004-06	767, 1005, 553	30	???	???	???
Drew Pearson	1978-80	714, 1026, 568	30	16	38	614
Sam McCullum	1979-81	739, 874, 567	30	11*	21*	233*
James Jett	1997-99	804, 882, 552	30	11	20	356
Freddie Solomon	1980-82	658, 969, 574*	30	13	31	662
Ernie Jones	1990-92	724, 957, 559	29	10	5	56
Nat Moore	1978-80	645, 840, 564	30	13	26	452
Andre Rison	1996-98	593, 1092, 542	32	15	21	218
Webster Slaughter	1990-92	847, 906, 486	29	14	77	904
Antonio Freeman	2000-02	912, 818, 600	31	15	14	141
Ernest Givins	1992-94	787, 887, 521	31	9	29	280
Earnest Gray	1982-84	757*, 1139, 529	28	5	3	22
*(Pro-rated for strike)

You can see that this group of receivers were pretty decent, although not All-World like Moss was in his prime.   But I think that you can't look at this and be confident that Moss is still going to be able to bring the magic.   As it says in the article, Moss isn't a work-out warrior, isn't a physical receiver, and isn't a great technician.   He's succeeded with blinding speed and leaping ability.   He's unlikely to age gracefully wherever he goes.

You add that to all his other negatives and I really think that bringing him onboard is a bad, bad plan.

 

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